Its Not Over – Tilly

For the past couple of weeks, I have been very pessimistic at McCain’s chances.  The economic disaster left McCain as much as 8 points down to Obama in the polls.  There is certainly a lack of excitement among Republicans right now as it seems Obama has all the momentum going into the last two weeks of this campaign.  But I have not lost all hope, there is a glimer, though small, still left.  The past week McCain has been narrowing the gap in the polls.  Rasmussen (the poll I trust most) has it 50-46 and Gallup has it even closer at 49-47. There are a couple of reasons why Obama’s numbers have begun to fall, if only oh so slightly.

First, the ACORN scandal is making a difference.  The very fact Obama had to address this issue in the last debate hurts him.  He HAS been connected to ACORN in the past.  His campaign HAS given close to 1 million dollars to the organization.  If this continues to be a topic of discussion, it will continue to push Obama’s numbers down.  Second, the economy no longer seems as urgent of an issue.  Though the stock market is still somewhat unstable, the conversation about the economic disaster has moved into more of a focus on how Obama and McCain will address the economy in general.  Which, has become a discussion of tax policy.  I believe McCain wins the debate if it is on tax policy.  He has been able to frame Obama’s plan as a “redistribution of wealth” (this is largely because of “Joe the Plumber”).  Americans do not like this idea and if they equate “redistribution of wealth” with Obama, McCain will gain ground.

There is one more issue which the Republicans are going to begin pushing hard this week.  Obama supports driver licenses for illegal immigrants.  Up to this point, this issue has not been brought up.  But if it becomes an issue largely discussed, it will become a problem for the Obama campaign.  This issue could infuriate independents.  Watch this ad that will begin playing in swing states this week… read on…


James Manning = Hilarious

So, I havent blogged in forever I know.  But with 17 hours of class (including two senior seminar classes) along with work and being a Lifegroup Leader plus having Halo nights in my room way too often, I am finding little time to blog.  All I will say now is McCain is in trouble if the economy is the issue because people perceive Obama will do a better job on the economy. Since the economy is the issue on the forefront right now, Obama is taking the lead in the polls.

Anyway, my parents came to visit today and shared this little video with me and I must say, it is quite entertaining.  enjoy.

The “Change” Battle Continues

We are continuing to see both campaigns battling over which one is going to bring real change to Washington.  Over the past two weeks McCain has been winning this battle.  First, his pick of Sarah Palin only solidified his “maverick” reputation.  Second, the convention’s central theme was that McCain/Palin would bring reform and they effectively argued they would do so by reminding those who watched of their records as reformers.  Third, the past two ads from the McCain campaign have centered on this battle.  The first, which I posted a few days ago, labeled Obama as just another liberal.  It claims Obama is not a “change” candidate at all.  And just yesterday, the McCain campaign released this ad:

Here we see, just as we did at the convention, a reminder of the past successes both McCain and Palin have had in bringing reform.  The McCain campaign is arguing their case well.  When there is a record to stand on, it is much easier to make the argument.

Obama, of course, has not been silent. Read More…


McCain Gets His Bounce…But For How Long?

Well its the Monday after the Republican National Convention.  And the polls look very different than they did before the convention:

Rassmussen: McCain +1

USA Today: McCain +10

Gallup: McCain +5

Zogby: McCain +4

This should not be surprising because the Republicans, as always, gave a great convention.  Read More…


Palin Wows! – Tilly

Sarah Palin gave a outstanding speech at last night’s convention…read it here.  Her presentation was exactly what it needed to be.  She took control of the stage and looked Presidential.  When she talked policy, she was sophisticated.  When she attacked Barack Obama, she was down right hilarious.  The speech excited conservatives, scared liberals, and showed the pundits who have been critical of her that John McCain knew exactly what he was doing when he picked her.  I absolutely loved it and was bouncing off the walls by the time it was over. It was everything we as Republicans wanted.  That glimmer of hope of winning is starting to grow.  We actually do have a chance. Read on…